Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 385.195589 437.779351 496.369069 566.752867 649.352818 743.629315 859.967439
2025-09-21 304.455962 372.333073 454.935922 563.903967 705.428135 885.171473 1134.211448
2025-09-28 250.799851 321.155691 411.710374 538.681569 715.151721 956.356220 1319.178705
2025-10-05 228.552867 304.350264 406.717555 558.115904 781.643323 1108.300807 1638.874066
2025-10-12 213.444016 294.016934 407.495698 583.449963 857.775908 1284.087137 2028.404897
2025-10-19 195.189386 276.452956 394.945867 586.104339 898.284841 1409.961794 2362.324769
2025-10-26 175.573270 254.421463 372.740213 570.055110 905.209785 1480.294320 2612.392300
2025-11-02 160.232225 237.084634 355.483802 559.092880 917.912645 1560.972927 2897.317199
2025-11-09 152.741671 231.013480 355.001062 575.330501 979.370629 1738.783793 3415.075448
2025-11-16 142.792752 219.991568 345.191765 573.998044 1008.245586 1859.165006 3841.166599
2025-11-23 132.970143 208.252190 332.938627 566.632205 1024.235530 1955.994259 4238.239213
2025-11-30 126.010528 200.642170 326.905979 569.719954 1060.707233 2101.144101 4788.711206
2025-12-07 117.121690 189.186296 313.387365 557.692488 1065.970033 2182.281724 5208.870575
2025-12-14 110.401732 180.974195 304.942904 554.563395 1089.584037 2309.872992 5794.653427
2025-12-21 101.359817 167.973014 286.655553 529.851361 1062.925715 2314.254018 6033.817641
2025-12-28 98.942790 166.636089 289.808769 548.904733 1136.386660 2577.285963 7134.815865
2026-01-04 97.351496 166.646958 295.451590 573.739467 1227.160315 2904.995414 8575.203710
2026-01-11 93.256735 161.676447 290.992798 576.341279 1265.219425 3100.672779 9649.851234
2026-01-18 87.488059 153.140158 278.807914 560.609163 1255.626822 3161.362324 10258.951609
2026-01-25 82.707259 146.188177 269.273988 549.862567 1257.260062 3255.503777 11040.099640
2026-02-01 80.949451 144.973531 271.294334 565.780503 1330.939943 3583.372509 12932.838298
2026-02-08 77.652519 140.501836 266.207313 564.474343 1358.228750 3773.486737 14331.853357
2026-02-15 74.050972 135.195072 258.964996 557.253674 1368.149006 3910.011941 15559.116207